The Real Number of Deaths From Covid-19

The Covid-19 pandemic has stricken the world over for months, and there’s worst still to come.

The one million death threshold will be surpassed officially in the coming days, and that’s not the worst part — indeed, the actual death toll may have already exceeded one million, and could be upwards of twice the official reported number.

Covid Death Toll To Hit One Million Soon

The actual number of fatalities due to one of the worst pandemics in a century may be closer to 1.8 million — a number that unfortunately may grow as high as three million by the end of the year.

It’s fair to say, the soon-to-be one million deaths due to the pandemic, is probably an underestimate — and a significant one at that.

The fatal novel coronavirus’s widespread infection and ability to transmit in asymptomatic patients have also enabled it to essentially go under the radar when it comes to accurately quantifying cases through widespread diagnostic testing.

For instance, even in countries with advance health systems, the mortality rate is difficult to accurately gauge. Thousands of probably COVID-related deaths in the US weren’t captured by official stats between March and May, as found by a study in July.

And this issue is exacerbated by countries that are worse off, healthcare-wise, compared to the US. India, for example, confirmed more than 5.4 million cases of infections but it only accounts for less than 100,000 of the nearly one million deaths reported globally to the World Health Organization (WHO).

Certainly, countries without a reliable national vital statistics registration system to track COVID-related deaths in real-time will only cause the disparity to grow larger.

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